This Option Strategy Made You >2.5x Buy-and-Hold in AAPL

I ran a backtest on an AAPL Put Strategy from 8/13/2024 - 8/13/2025.
Here are the details.
Scenario - Sell a Put to earn a Premium
Strategy
- Sell Put
- 1 Contract
- 30 ∆
- 45 DTE
Entry Conditions
- On exact DTE Match
- Number of active trades open at a given time: 10
- Note: I received the same results with a maximum of 5 active trades.
Exit Conditions
Exit:
- At 21 DTE
- Or, if loss has exceeded 100% of original premium
- Or, if profit has exceeded 50% of original premium
Other Conditions
- Trades (entries and exits) are executed at the mid price once per day at 12:45:00 PM.
- Capital Required/Used: $12,800
Results

Summary

Details

Trades

Conclusions
Sell 45 DTE Puts in AAPL? No. At least not always. I do try to stick to 45 DTE entry and 21 DTE (or earlier) exits.
Anyway, this page shows a single backtest, only in the past one year, at a time when AAPL has had a bullish run.
In the world of finance and business, you are often fooled by a single success or data point masquerading as a genius.
This page, like this website, is just entertainment.
No one knows what is going to happen tomorrow, so we try to create stories out of the past. Sometimes, past is useful to know and learn from. Sometimes, it is not. I hope you found the experiment entertaining.
Thanks for reading!
📌 Disclaimer: Nothing on this site is financial advice - I’m just here to entertain! Here’s my introduction, my trading philosophy, and some ground rules.